Central Connecticut
Men - Women
2014 - 2015 - 2016
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
575  Ryan Hertzog JR 33:07
970  Matt Walker SR 33:44
1,170  Joe Gioielli JR 34:01
1,231  Austin Trainor FR 34:07
1,403  Alex Norstrom FR 34:21
1,750  Derek French JR 34:54
1,813  Brendan Callahan SO 35:01
1,944  Colin Sauter SO 35:15
2,127  Malcolm Connor JR 35:35
2,379  Eric Davidson SO 36:15
National Rank #158 of 308
Northeast Region Rank #22 of 41
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 0.0%
Most Likely Finish 23rd at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 0.0%
Top 10 in Regional 0.2%
Top 20 in Regional 33.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Ryan Hertzog Matt Walker Joe Gioielli Austin Trainor Alex Norstrom Derek French Brendan Callahan Colin Sauter Malcolm Connor Eric Davidson
CCSU Ted Owen Invitational 09/26 1265 33:25 34:27 34:22 35:51 36:23
NEICAAA Championship 10/10 1224 32:47 34:13 35:53 35:41 35:01 35:32
CCSU Mini Meet 10/23 1179 33:22 33:52 33:36 34:24 34:16 34:52 36:07 35:02
Northeast Conference Championship 10/31 1157 33:09 33:35 34:06 33:50 34:03 34:38 35:08 35:17 35:43 36:06
Northeast Region Championships 11/13 1176 33:14 34:20 33:45 34:07 34:46 34:18 35:43





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 0.0%
Region Championship 100% 21.2 606 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.7 1.2 2.2 3.0 3.6 5.0 6.7 9.6 12.9 17.8 19.2 9.4 4.4 2.0 0.8 0.2 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Simulation - Individual Results



RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Ryan Hertzog 59.3 0.0 0.1
Matt Walker 104.3
Joe Gioielli 129.9
Austin Trainor 138.1
Alex Norstrom 157.1
Derek French 197.9
Brendan Callahan 206.4




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 2
3 3
4 4
5 5
6 6
7 7
8 8
9 9
10 0.2% 0.2 10
11 0.3% 0.3 11
12 0.5% 0.5 12
13 0.7% 0.7 13
14 1.2% 1.2 14
15 2.2% 2.2 15
16 3.0% 3.0 16
17 3.6% 3.6 17
18 5.0% 5.0 18
19 6.7% 6.7 19
20 9.6% 9.6 20
21 12.9% 12.9 21
22 17.8% 17.8 22
23 19.2% 19.2 23
24 9.4% 9.4 24
25 4.4% 4.4 25
26 2.0% 2.0 26
27 0.8% 0.8 27
28 0.2% 0.2 28
29 0.1% 0.1 29
30 0.0% 0.0 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
39 39
40 40
41 41
Total 100% 0.0% 100.0 0.0 0.0




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Total 0.0
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 0.0